Geo Group Stock Performance

Geo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,638  in Geo Group on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (54.00) from holding Geo Group or give up 3.3% of portfolio value over 90 days. Geo Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.6316% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Geo, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.Considering the 90-day investment horizon Geo is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Geo Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Geo has a beta of 1.0. This usually indicates Geo Group market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Geo is expected to follow. Additionally Geo Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.

Predictive Modules for Geo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Geo Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 13.15 15.80 18.45 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14.22 20.01 22.66 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 11.16 13.81 16.46 Details

4 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 29.35 32.25 35.80 Details

Geo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Geo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Geo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Geo Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Geo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Geo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Geo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Geo Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Geo Price Density Drivers

Geo Fundamentals Growth

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Geo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. Market participants price Geo higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.

Investors evaluate Geo Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Geo's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Geo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Geo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.